Vegas Made Easy - Las Vegas Info

Our recommendation for overall best Sports Book is Hilton because they often accept larger and more kinds of bets. Their baseball dime lines (a cheap way to bet) are competitive.

Caesars’ is also recommended if you do not make large bets and tend not to win very often. Viewing and comfort are excellent.

For general viewing, our favorite is Bellagio because of its drinks, great waitresses, and excellent comfort. As with most Vegas Sports Books, arrive at least 2 hours early for seats.

Of the Locals casinos, South Point is recommended with Red Rock and Green Valley Ranch also strong for watching games. The Palms is an independent line and often has great odds but they have no NBA betting and fewer seats than most.

The Plaza is a bit better than some other Sports Books downtown. For a purely sports bar feel, Hard Rock is a major change of pace from the Superbooks such as Hilton but you have to arrive very early for booth seating.

For Race Books, our top choice is Wynn because of its convenient at-your-seat terminal betting and futures on major thoroughbred races. Comfort and viewing is excellent. They have a good drink policy for race bettors—almost as good as the Venetian’s for Race and Sports betting.

Another good Race Book is Imperial Palace, especially for low rollers. It is close to their decent burger joint.

Although Las Vegas is still a great place to bet on sports, cash transaction reporting requirements may limit betting on a single bet to under $10,000.

If you are a minimum size bettor which is usually $5 for Sports Books you may also have trouble getting free drinks at casinos such as Mandalay Bay, Caesars, unless you are also betting on the horses. $300 sports bet tickets should get free drinks at most casinos.

Advantage Players can make money on Sports but probably not on Race betting. In Las Vegas Sports Books the vig (vigorish, juice, commission fee for placing bets) is 4.545% for a standard -110 bet (Bet $110 to win $100 or $11 to win $10, etc.)

The Race Books’ vig is about 17.2% or 3.8X higher than sports. Over the last 12 months starting July 2006 to August 2007, the State of Nevada’s Gaming Revenue Report shows the casino win for all Non-restricted locations for sports betting is lower than the ponies with baseball the lowest casino win % at 4.78%.

The most popular sport to bet is Football which Vegas Made Easy.com estimates is about 36.4% all Race/Sports betting and probably right at or just over $1BN of over $2.7BN total Race/Sports betting for the last 12 months ended in August 2007. The table below has estimated amount bet and the Nevada Gaming Control Board categories.

The favored team must cover the Spread to win. If you bet $110 on New England (-16.5 over Cleveland -110) it means that New England must beat the Cleveland by 17 points for you to win.

Because of the casino commission on the bet, the Vig, you will get a total of $210 back. You get your bet back plus you have won $100. The -110 is the standard Vig.

If you bet $11 on Cleveland at +16.5 and they lose by 16 points, you win because they lost by less than the Spread. You collect a total of $21—your original $11 and your winnings of $10.

When you see a Spread with a 1/2 point at the end, it means that you will either win or lose. If a game has an integer such as -7 or +14, it means you can tie the casino (push) and get your bet back if the game ends exactly on the Spread.

Should the amount of money bet on both teams be about the same, the casinos will roughly make their 4.54% Vig. Often casinos set the odds so that they make more money when the favorites do not cover the Spread or even lose outright.

Casinos can lose money when favorites win because of unbalanced bets and also if customers have parlay cards that depend on an uninterrupted series of winning picks. However, Vegas Made Easy.com does not recommend parlays unless you are an advanced Sports bettor. The casinos make too much money—over 27%.

The Moneyline is a bet that a team either wins or loses—Spread does not matter. If Cleveland is +1300 and they win, you will get $1,400 for a $100 bet. The Sports Book returns your $100 plus you win $1,300.

For a New England Moneyline bet of -1650, you bet $1,650 to get a total of $1,750. This is $100 winnings plus $1,650 of your bet back.

There is no apparent Vig but notice that there is a difference between the Moneylines. One may be +1300 while another is -1650 so that if the casinos take in about the same money on both sides of the Moneyline, they make a profit.

Here is a list of Moneylines with implied winning or losing percentages. For example, if you bet a +300 line many, many times and win 25% of the time, you will break even. You lose most of the time but when you win you get paid enough to cover the losses.

At a Moneyline of 9900 (which, in reality, you will never see posted on a board) you only need to win 1% of the time to breakeven. We show very high numbers just to give a complete picture of how the Moneyline works.

Moneyline	Implied Chances	Implied Against
9900	1.000%	99.000%
9000	1.099%	98.901%
8000	1.235%	98.765%
7000	1.408%	98.592%
6000	1.639%	98.361%
5000	1.961%	98.039%
4000	2.439%	97.561%
3000	3.226%	96.774%
2000	4.762%	95.238%
1900	5.000%	95.000%
1800	5.263%	94.737%
1700	5.556%	94.444%
1600	5.882%	94.118%
1500	6.250%	93.750%
1400	6.667%	93.333%
1300	7.143%	92.857%
1200	7.692%	92.308%
1100	8.333%	91.667%
1000	9.091%	90.909%
900	10.000%	90.000%
800	11.111%	88.889%
700	12.500%	87.500%
650	13.333%	86.667%
600	14.286%	85.714%
550	15.385%	84.615%
500	16.667%	83.333%
450	18.182%	81.818%
400	20.000%	80.000%
380	20.833%	79.167%
360	21.739%	78.261%
340	22.727%	77.273%
320	23.810%	76.190%
300	25.000%	75.000%
290	25.641%	74.359%
280	26.316%	73.684%
270	27.027%	72.973%
260	27.778%	72.222%
250	28.571%	71.429%
240	29.412%	70.588%
230	30.303%	69.697%
220	31.250%	68.750%
210	32.258%	67.742%
200	33.333%	66.667%
190	34.483%	65.517%
185	35.088%	64.912%
180	35.714%	64.286%
175	36.364%	63.636%
170	37.037%	62.963%
165	37.736%	62.264%
160	38.462%	61.538%
155	39.216%	60.784%
150	40.000%	60.000%
145	40.816%	59.184%
140	41.667%	58.333%
135	42.553%	57.447%
130	43.478%	56.522%
125	44.444%	55.556%
120	45.455%	54.545%
115	46.512%	53.488%
110	47.619%	52.381%
109	47.847%	52.153%
108	48.077%	51.923%
107	48.309%	51.691%
106	48.544%	51.456%
105	48.780%	51.220%
100	50.000%	50.000%

You can also bet on the totals or the Over/Under or o/u or ou. If the total is 48.5 and you bet $1,100 on the Over at -110, a score of Cleveland 17 and New England 34 (17+34=51) means you will cash your ticket for $2,100. You get back your $1,100 plus you win $1,000.

If the total had been 51 points instead, the bet would have pushed. You would have received your $1,100 back but you neither won nor lost money.

On the boards where you see New England and Cleveland listed, there will be a number next to each team such as 419 for Cleveland and 420 for New England. When you make your bet, use the number to help the ticket writer identify the teams.

Basketball bets are structured similarly to football bets. You have a Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under. A small nuance is that you cannot make NBA bets at the Palms because they also own the Sacramento Kings.

Baseball bets are different because you usually have the Moneyline and the totals. They list starting pitchers who must pitch at least one pitch in order for the game to qualify. If they don’t, then your bet is cancelled and you get your money back.

The key to look for is dime lines which are the same as football’s -105. Your breakeven in picking games is 51.2%.

One of the advantages of Race versus Sports Books is that you are more likely to get attentive, free drink service. Casinos make more money from you is the reason although the minimum bet size is $2 instead of $5 for most Sports Books.

Las Vegas books have actually negotiated low fees from the different tracks around the country—about half in most cases. However, they have to pay miscellaneous fees for broadcast rights, etc. so the total amount ends up about the same as you pay in other parts of the country for OTB (Off-Track Betting)—a Vig of about 17%.

For this reason, we cannot recommend these bets unless you are an extremely good handicapper or wait for a major thoroughbred race such as one of the Triple Crowns or a Breeder’s Cup to out-handicap a much larger than usual pari-mutuel pool.

Your other very rare Advantage Play is to wait for an overwhelming favorite that you believe will win (or place or show). Race tracks must pay a minimum of $2.10 for a winning $2.00 ticket, even if there is not enough money in the pari-mutuel pool which means the vig is a negative number.

Often you are equal or better off to bet Place or Show (second or third) on an overwhelming favorite because $2.10 will show up across the board anyway. If the overwhelming favorite does not win, but comes in second or third, you can still cash your ticket.

An overwhelming favorite can also pay more for Place or Show such as $2.20 or so, especially if there is a clear but distant public choice for second or third. Usually when the results of such a race are shown, the public is very surprised since win bets usually pay more than place or show bets.

If you are trying to be an Advantage Player, you are at a disadvantage in Las Vegas. You cannot see the horses before the race to see if they are lathering or nervous versus your previous observations of the same horses.

Also, track conditions in the Daily Racing Form, for Monmouth Park as an example, may not perfectly detail track conditions with a tendency for them to list conditions as always being Fast when they may be slightly Sloppy.

Those handicappers (followers of the Andy Beyer school of speed handicapping) who visit the track every day have an advantage in making speed adjustments. All you have in Las Vegas is the Daily Racing Form.